Varzim vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 1
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
VAR
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEL
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
EST
3 - 3
VAR
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FEI
2 - 0
PEN
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
FEI
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 2
FEI
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
FEI
0 - 1
NAV
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 1
FEI
40%
27%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |