Varzim vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
FCP
5 - 1
VAR
87%
9%
4%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 2
SCP
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPB
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 1
VIT
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BEL
2 - 0
FEI
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 2
SCP
6%
14%
80%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
RIO
2 - 1
FEI
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
FEI
1 - 3
FCP
10%
18%
73%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | -1 |