Varzim vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
56.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
19.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
SPB
2 - 1
VAR
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
VAR
1 - 1
SCP
18%
27%
55%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
BEL
4 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
VAR
1 - 1
POR
50%
29%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
ACA
0 - 0
VAR
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 1
BOA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1987 |
DYN
1 - 2
FCP
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1987 |
FCP
5 - 0
VIT
81%
14%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 1
DYN
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |