Varzim vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
61.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 3
ACA
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 2
FAB
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
TIR
2 - 0
VAR
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
SPB
2 - 3
FCP
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCP
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
FCP
5 - 1
SPC
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
0 - 4
FCP
31%
25%
45%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |