Varzim vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 2
VAR
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 2
ACA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
BEL
3 - 1
VAR
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 2
VAR
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
COV
1 - 2
FCP
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAB
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
39%
25%
35%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |