Varzim vs FC Marco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
OVA
4 - 1
VAR
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 2
VAR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 3
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 2
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 2
VST
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FCM
1 - 3
PEN
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FCM
0 - 3
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
FAR
4 - 0
FCM
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
FCM
2 - 1
SAL
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
EST
1 - 0
FCM
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |