Varzim vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
15%
24%
62%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 3
ACA
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 5
FCP
10%
22%
68%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
FCB
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 1
ACA
14%
23%
64%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
SAN
1 - 0
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
FCB
3 - 2
FAB
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |