Varzim vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
BMA
3 - 2
VAR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
SCP
4 - 0
VAR
87%
9%
5%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
VAR
2 - 0
LGC
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
VIT
4 - 1
VAR
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
FCB
0 - 1
FAB
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
FCB
0 - 1
BEL
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
VST
2 - 0
FCB
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |