Varzim vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 1
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BMA
2 - 1
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
VAR
4 - 1
MAR
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 3
VAR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
VAR
3 - 0
GFC
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FAR
1 - 1
ALV
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
NAV
0 - 0
FAR
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
FAR
2 - 1
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
FAR
1 - 1
UNM
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 0
FAR
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |