Varzim vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1984 |
ESP
2 - 3
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAL
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
BOA
3 - 0
VAR
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 0
PEN
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1984 |
SCP
4 - 0
FAR
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
FAR
1 - 0
VIT
34%
29%
38%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
ESP
5 - 2
FAR
53%
28%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
FAR
1 - 1
SAL
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
BOA
3 - 0
FAR
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |