Varzim vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
SLB
2 - 0
VAR
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
RDA
1 - 0
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
RIO
1 - 1
VAR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
FAR
4 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
FAR
0 - 2
FCP
20%
27%
53%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
SLB
6 - 2
FAR
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
FAR
1 - 1
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
RDA
1 - 1
FAR
42%
25%
34%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |