Varzim vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FEL
3 - 0
VAR
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
TIR
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 2
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
ADO
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 4
ARO
18%
23%
58%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FAM
0 - 1
RIB
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAM
0 - 1
ADO
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 0
FAM
18%
24%
59%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAM
2 - 0
VSC
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |