Varzim vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
JOA
1 - 1
VAR
16%
24%
59%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 1
GON
57%
25%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
AMA
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FAM
3 - 1
TIR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
INF
0 - 1
FAM
19%
24%
56%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FAM
0 - 1
FAF
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 0
FAM
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FAM
3 - 1
OSL
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |