Varzim vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
ACA
3 - 0
VAR
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
VIT
0 - 0
VAR
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 3
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCP
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
FCB
3 - 4
FAB
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
FAB
1 - 2
UFT
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
FAB
2 - 2
SLB
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 1
FAB
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |