Varzim vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 2
VAR
73%
16%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 0
BMA
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 0
VAR
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
VAR
0 - 1
VST
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
FAB
0 - 0
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
LEX
0 - 0
FAB
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
FAB
1 - 5
FCP
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
VIT
3 - 1
FAB
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
FAB
1 - 0
SPB
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |