Varzim vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
43.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 1
VAR
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 2
SCF
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 4
FAT
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
FAT
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 0
EST
36%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 1
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |