Varzim vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 1
VAR
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 0
VAR
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
BOA
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
VST
1 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ACA
1 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
EST
1 - 0
ACA
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 1
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
EST
1 - 4
SPB
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
SLB
5 - 1
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |