Varzim vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1977 |
POR
2 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 4
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
SLB
2 - 0
VAR
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
SPB
1 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
EST
0 - 1
SCP
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
EST
2 - 1
FCP
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
CDM
0 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |