Varzim vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
16%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
SAL
0 - 0
VAR
62%
24%
15%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 4
BOA
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCP
21%
28%
51%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
PEN
1 - 1
VAR
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAR
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
FAR
3 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
ESP
0 - 2
SLB
15%
25%
60%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
SPB
2 - 0
ESP
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 0
RDA
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |