Varzim vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
MAR
0 - 1
VAR
47%
30%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPB
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
VIT
1 - 1
VAR
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 1
SCP
24%
28%
47%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
SLB
8 - 0
VAR
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
SPB
4 - 0
ESP
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 0
SCP
21%
28%
51%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
POR
1 - 0
ESP
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
ESP
0 - 0
GDA
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
AMO
1 - 0
ESP
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |