Varzim vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LEX
3 - 0
VAR
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ACV
2 - 2
VAR
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
BEN
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GFC
1 - 0
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 2
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
BEN
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 2
VIZ
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
VSC
1 - 1
AVE
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 1
POR
35%
27%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 1
SPC
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |