Varzim vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
EST
3 - 1
VAR
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VAR
0 - 1
LEX
42%
28%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
VAR
0 - 0
OLI
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
0 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
COV
2 - 0
BEN
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 0
COV
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
COV
2 - 1
FEI
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MAF
3 - 2
COV
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LEX
0 - 0
COV
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |