Varzim vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
MOR
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEX
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 0
SCP
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
COV
3 - 2
UNM
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 2
COV
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
REA
2 - 3
COV
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
COV
1 - 1
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 0
COV
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |