Varzim vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
VAR
46%
28%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
INF
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
MIR
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIB
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
VIZ
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 0
VIL
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
INF
0 - 1
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
FAM
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |