Varzim vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAM
0 - 1
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 1
MAC
72%
19%
10%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIZ
0 - 1
VAR
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
TIR
33%
28%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ADO
0 - 0
VAR
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
LOU
65%
22%
12%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
CHA
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
OSL
67%
21%
11%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 2
CHA
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FAM
0 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |