Varzim vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
FEL
1 - 4
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
VAR
0 - 1
FEI
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
VAR
3 - 0
ALV
47%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 1
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 0
FEL
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 0
ALV
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ESP
0 - 0
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 0
GON
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
OLH
0 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |