Varzim vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
OEL
0 - 0
VAR
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
VAR
1 - 3
SCP
13%
24%
63%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
MAR
3 - 1
VAR
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
VAR
1 - 2
POR
49%
28%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
VST
5 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOA
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
VIT
0 - 0
CHA
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
CHA
0 - 0
BEL
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
SLB
1 - 1
CHA
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
CHA
1 - 1
ACA
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |