Varzim vs Camacha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OSL
1 - 0
VAR
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAM
0 - 1
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 1
MAC
72%
19%
10%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIZ
0 - 1
VAR
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
LOU
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MIR
3 - 1
CAM
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OSL
0 - 1
CAM
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
CHA
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FAM
2 - 0
CAM
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |