Varzim vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
SPB
0 - 0
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 1
PEN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 0
VAR
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
VAR
5 - 1
ESP
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
VST
2 - 0
VAR
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
SLB
3 - 0
BOA
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 0
ESP
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
VST
0 - 0
SLB
19%
28%
54%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
SLB
4 - 1
BEL
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1980 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |