Varzim vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
RIO
1 - 2
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 1
ESP
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 2
VAR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
4 - 0
ACV
66%
17%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
SLB
1 - 2
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
SLB
2 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLB
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |