Varzim vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GFC
1 - 0
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 2
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
MOR
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 4
RIO
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
POR
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
COV
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
VST
4 - 1
BEN
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BEN
5 - 0
SCF
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
BEN
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
BEN
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |