Varzim vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 2
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 3
GFC
24%
26%
49%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 2
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
VAR
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 1
BEL
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
GFC
1 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
TRO
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |