Varzim vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2002 |
SCP
0 - 0
VAR
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 0
MOR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
VAR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 1
VAR
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 0
PAÇ
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 1
BEL
32%
27%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 2
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLA
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |