Varzim vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
FCP
4 - 2
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 2
VIT
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 1
SCP
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
FAB
2 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 0
VST
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
LEX
2 - 0
BEL
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLB
18%
27%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
FCB
1 - 1
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
BEL
0 - 0
TIR
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |