Varzim vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
VIT
0 - 0
VAR
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 3
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 1
UFT
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 2
BEL
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
BEL
4 - 0
LUS
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
LUS
0 - 5
BEL
33%
23%
44%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |