Varzim vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
55%
22%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
FAB
2 - 1
VAR
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
VAR
5 - 1
LEX
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
SCP
3 - 2
VAR
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
31%
25%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 2
BEL
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
TOR
0 - 2
BEL
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
70%
17%
12%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ACA
4 - 1
BEL
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |