Varzim vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1965 |
VST
7 - 1
VAR
66%
19%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
VAR
3 - 1
TOR
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCP
17%
21%
62%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SLB
5 - 0
VAR
95%
4%
1%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 1
BEL
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1962 |
BMA
4 - 0
LGC
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
SLB
8 - 1
BMA
90%
7%
4%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
BMA
1 - 1
ACA
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
SPC
3 - 4
BMA
50%
22%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
BMA
1 - 0
OLH
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |