Varzim vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
34%
29%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 3
VAR
24%
26%
49%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
RIB
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAR
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 0
LOU
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 2
CAM
33%
26%
42%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
OSL
1 - 0
ADO
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ADO
0 - 2
CHA
20%
24%
55%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FAM
3 - 0
ADO
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |