Varzim vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
24.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
FAR
1 - 0
VAR
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
VAR
0 - 0
ESP
50%
29%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
RIO
1 - 1
VAR
55%
26%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
VAR
3 - 4
PEN
48%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
SAL
1 - 0
VAR
47%
30%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1988 |
ACA
0 - 0
BOA
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACA
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
SPB
1 - 0
ACA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |