Varzim vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
AMO
1 - 0
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 2
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
BMA
2 - 2
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
ACA
0 - 0
BOA
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 1
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
ACA
2 - 2
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |