Varzim vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
53.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 2
FAB
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
TIR
2 - 0
VAR
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEX
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 1
VAR
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
ACA
0 - 1
VST
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
28%
24%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |