Varzim U15 vs Braga U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
85.7%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.7%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.2%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
8º
6º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RIO
3 - 1
VRZ
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
VRZ
3 - 3
FAM
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 2
VRZ
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VRZ
1 - 0
VIA
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 3
VRZ
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Braga U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
9 - 0
ADB
95%
4%
1%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 9
BRA
5%
10%
85%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
SCP
4 - 1
BRA
66%
18%
16%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
ACA
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
BNF
4 - 2
BRA
42%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |