Varzim U15 vs ADC Aveleda Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+138%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
8º
6º
6
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
6 - 1
VRZ
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VRZ
4 - 0
PAL
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VRZ
2 - 0
ADB
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
8 - 2
VRZ
96%
3%
1%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VRZ
1 - 1
RIO
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ADC Aveleda Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ADC
3 - 3
ADB
36%
22%
43%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
14 - 0
ADC
97%
3%
1%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 1
RIO
6%
13%
82%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FAM
7 - 1
ADC
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 2
GFC
8%
14%
79%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |