Varzim B vs Torcatense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
VAR
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
ADO
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 1
VAR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 3
SMA
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
ADO
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 1
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 1
ARO
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 0
TOR
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |