Varzim B vs Arões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
VAR
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 0
MON
41%
23%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ADO
2 - 1
VAR
71%
18%
10%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
5 - 3
TRO
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 2
TRO
12%
20%
69%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
ARO
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
TRO
12%
18%
71%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 2
ARO
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
TOR
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 1
ARO
83%
13%
5%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |