Varzim B vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 1
VAR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 3
SMA
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
VAR
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ADO
2 - 0
FEL
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 0
ARO
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
ADO
23%
24%
54%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
TRO
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 0
ADO
22%
25%
54%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -3 |