Värmdö vs Hammarby Nacka FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Värmdö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 3
NAC
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SIF
3 - 5
VAR
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
VAR
5 - 2
AKR
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 1
VAR
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GUT
1 - 4
VAR
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hammarby Nacka FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
2 - 0
GIK
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
1 - 0
ASS
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 2
HAM
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
HAM
1 - 1
AAF
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
AKR
1 - 2
HAM
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |