Värmbols vs Karlslund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Värmbols
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
KON
0 - 6
VAR
15%
20%
66%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 1
SOD
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 3
HUD
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
VAR
68%
17%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 3
VAR
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Karlslund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
KAR
1 - 1
MOT
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 2
KAR
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
ESK
2 - 2
KAR
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KAR
4 - 1
ASP
39%
22%
40%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
KAR
1 - 1
ASI
9%
19%
72%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |