Värmbols vs AIK Solna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.6%
80.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Värmbols
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KUM
0 - 2
VAR
25%
20%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 3
ASS
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
HAN
1 - 2
VAR
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
SLE
3 - 3
VAR
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SLE
2 - 1
VAR
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
OST
0 - 3
AIK
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
AIK
1 - 1
AFC
71%
20%
9%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
GÖT
2 - 1
AIK
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SIR
1 - 4
AIK
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 1
AIK
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |