Varketili II vs Samgurali II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
67.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varketili II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
VAR
6 - 3
FCM
37%
22%
42%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
BOR
8%
13%
79%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 3
LTB
5%
12%
84%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 2
VAR
57%
20%
22%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 0
SAM
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 3
ZES
9%
17%
74%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 3
TEL
10%
17%
73%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
IBE
0 - 4
SAM
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 0
BET
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |